Sebastian Kreuzmair
PhD Candidate
University of Amsterdam
Email: s.t.kreuzmairCHARACTER SEQUENCE@uva.nl

I am on the 2025/26 job market.
Job Market Paper: Climate Policy Uncertainty and the Green Transition

About me

I am a graduate of the Tinbergen Institute and a PhD Candidate at CeNDEF at the University of Amsterdam supervised by Florian Wagener and Jan Tuinstra.

My primary research fields are environmental economics and climate change, political economy, and applied game theory.

In my job market paper, I study how uncertainty about how long carbon pricing will remain in force affects investment in clean electricity. Two parties alternate in government, and an exogenous carbon price is implemented under the green party and suspended under the brown party. This duration risk leads firms to postpone irreversible investment in clean capacity, which slows deployment, keeps fossil generation higher during the transition, and raises cumulative emissions. More frequent alternation reduces worst-case emissions by lowering the probability of long periods without policy, even when average policy intensity is unchanged.

Placement

For placement inquiries, please contact: Eric Bartelsman (Placement Director) or Christina Månsson (Placement Assistant).